Hi Snooch,
I agree with a lot of what you say in your analysis of the NFL post season, and here's my take:
For me Chicago will win the NFC as long as they stop Grossman from losing the game for them. Even last season when Orton was playing they were winning by just avoiding making mistakes on offence and letting their D take over. I can't understand why Lovie Smith continus to persist with Grossman when the very steady Brian Griese is stood on the sidelines. With their D and Special Teams they just have to not beat themselves.
Obviously, New Orleans will have a huge amount of emotion behind them through the playoffs and if Chicago make mistakes they have a chance.
As for the other teams in the NFC I can't see Seattle doing anything more - last night both they and Dallas were very unimpressive - as they have been for most of the season.
Philly has chance at causing an upset somewhere down the line - I think they'll beat the Giants tonight and I think they (like the Colts) will enjoy being in the playoffs as underdogs. They just have to hope that Garcia doesn't wake up from the dream he's in at the moment.
In the AFC I think the Ravens do look fantastic and their defence is definitely a class apart. If they are going to be beaten then it's going to require a very special offence to do it and a defence that's good enough to keep the game tight. From the teams in the AFC I think San Diego and New England have a chance. LT has been incredible and I would fancy him to score against any defence - but as you say Rivers is probably too inconsistent - I think he'll come undone at some point.
That leaves the Patriots who I just think if they get their game together - and Rodney Harrison back can still beat anyone. They have really looked good since the nightmare in Miami.
I predict a New England - Baltimore championship game (which Baltimore will win) and New Orleans - Chicago (which Chicago will win)
Then we'll have the strongest two defences who I can remember in a Superbowl which the Ravens will win with their experience telling in the end.