Its really too hard to say with all the recent distribution changes. It could go either way...all I know is I think 2004 will be one of the better years for upcoming artists. Prime really pushed some of the big labels really hard. I don't know if some of these other distributors will want to or be able to push towards the same people or as much as Prime did.
With a semi-boring 2002 and an uneventful 2003 I have a good feeling about 2004...but it could be shitty as well.