you're right england is doing pretty badly against sweden, from what I remember (except last match). also i'm not sure about capello's coaching qualities from what i saw I didn't like it. so many top players and so bad footbal. cant get it.
france is a big question mark. i think they will do well under laurent blanc. last tournament with domenech was a joke, but i think there are pretty high expectations in france, so england and france will both do that from this group, imo.